I think if I hear that "V" word again I will never use a word that begins with that letter ever again.What is Value anyway? Most will say that Value is that the line or odds offered on a given team are not a true reflection of a teams true chances of winning or losing in that particular situation.TN Requin pas cher, The bottom line here is that it all comes down to how you see a particular teams chances of winning in correlation with current lines and odds and actually winning your wager. But what about "Value?"How is it that you can actually lose more wagers than you win and still come out to the plus side. Heck, you can't argue with that! Just knowing this and living it makes you a better capper already. A game we think we have found a decided advantage of one team over another team so now its time to see those odds and lines offered by the various bookmakers worldwide.We decide on Everton vs ArsenalChaussures Puma Pas Cher Over 2 ? Total Goals at +115/+120. After all my handicapping I am certain and I know we have a decided advantage so taking that Over at +115/+120 has to be some good value...right? I mean that is why we are placing this wager isn't it? This example isn't aimed at anyone who took this wager, besides I liked it to but it just so happens I don't touch first or second games very often. The outcome of this match was a 1-1 final and a losing wager. But what happened to the value?Could it be "Value" is in the eye of the beholder? We are all individuals and we all have our own unique ways to handicap games. WOW.......plus money for something that we think is going to happen. The favorites don't always win, the underdogs don't always lose, the overs don't always go over and the unders don't always go under. Ah yes, we found it. Once you have done your homework, set your own odds and lines to go with your games of interest, capped to the best of your ability (we all have different abilities) and checked with the various books for the best possible odds or lines for that solid wager, than you have found "Value."So you see taking that so called favorite at plus money means nothing if you can't pick winners. But will it be because of "Value" or will that wager have been considered one of "Value."Life is really simple in the world of handicapping sporting events. So what are we looking for? We are looking for an edge that one team has over another team and how that particular game might be played out. Go on and say it again! I'm taking the White Sox at +105 tonight because there is a lot of value with the White Sox and that number. Before you start throwing darts at me in disagreement, please hear me out.In the morning we all get up the same way. Before the match starts, you still have a fifty-fifty chance of being correct and cashing that ticket. We start to do our handicapping and for the sake of keeping this simple we will use soccer as our game of choice to be capped. Is it because your capping skillsChaussures Gucci Pas Cher on looking for "value" is better than others?So in ending, what is "Value?" Value is your ability as a capper to be able to find just enough winning wagers to turn a profit over a given period of time. If you have done your homework which should include some statistical analysis, some reading, and you add personal knowledge from seeing a team play, than maybe you will win a few more wagers than you lose. So if I understand that correctly than in our example of the White Sox at +105 and if it is considered value by taking the White Sox at +105 than the White Sox should really be favored by -115 instead of +105, Right? Now I say, according to who?The more I think about this word "Value" the more I'm starting to think that there isn't such a thing in sports handicapping and wagering. We do know this. How is it that you can win more wagers than you lose and still come out to the down side. Yes, VALUE is truly in the eye of the beholder!Sincerly, Michael Bubulka Sharp and Steady Sports Picks.
没有评论:
发表评论